
Today marks a pivotal moment for Nvidia as the tech firm is scheduled to unveil its much-anticipated fourth-quarter earnings after the US market closes, amid heightened expectations.
This represents Nvidia's initial financial report since the rise of China's DeepSeek model, and investors are keenly awaiting any indicators that could suggest a shift in momentum or reaffirmation of Nvidia's stronghold during the ongoing AI surge, as reported by City AM.
The emergence of DeepSeek has already sent ripples through the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, triggering the most significant single-day market capitalisation drop in Nvidia's history.
In the lead-up to this crucial earnings release, Nvidia's shares have faced substantial headwinds.
The semiconductor heavyweight, now valued at an immense $3.1 trillion (£2.44 trillion), has endured a 19% dip in share price since its zenith in early January.
At the heart of investor concerns lies DeepSeek's open source AI model offering—the potential to run on less sophisticated chips at considerably lower costs poses a critical challenge to the demand for Nvidia's products.
Nevertheless, certain analysts maintain a positive outlook; Vivek Arya from Bank of America anticipates today's earnings call "could mark the trough in investor sentiment" while setting an ambitious target price of $190 (£149.67), nearly 38% above the stock's current value.
With eyes fixed on Nvidia's forthcoming financial update, its reverberations are expected to resonate beyond the company alone, potentially influencing broader market trajectories.
David Morrison, a senior market analyst at Trade Union, asserts the significance of Nvidia's announcement, particularly in light of recent rumours regarding Microsoft's data centre expansion plans—rumours that Microsoft itself has denied.
Susannah Streeter, who leads money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, acknowledged the unease investors have felt over Deepseek but maintained a positive outlook, commenting: "The arrival of low-cost Chinese model DeepSeek rattled investors but, given Nvidia's first mover advantage and the huge infrastructure investment plans from tech giants like Meta, it's an indication that Nvidia's high-end chips will remain in demand."
On the flip side, Forrester senior analyst Alvin Nguyen pointed out that Deepseek offers competition, like Intel, an opportunity to stake a claim in the low-end AI infrastructure market.
Nevertheless, he believes "this should not have an immediate impact on NVIDIA since demand for their GPUs exceeds their ability to supply."
Looking beyond the statistics, all eyes will be on Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang as he provides direction on pivotal areas poised to influence the company's course.
Projections for future revenue also stand out as an area of interest, especially after Nvidia's previously announced second-quarter sales prediction of $37.5bn (£29.54bn), which would mark an impressive 70 per cent year-over-year growth.